Primary Program
About
Muhammad Javid is a Senior Fellow in Energy Macro & Microeconomics at KAPSARC, currently working on the KAPSARC Global Energy Macroeconometric Model (KGEMM) project. Before joining KAPSARC, Muhammad worked as a Senior Research Economist at the Pakistan Institute of Development Economics (PIDE) in Islamabad. During his 20+ years in research, Muhammad has worked extensively in the areas of energy, environment, econometric modeling, forecasting, and macroeconomics. He also has experience working for various research, academic, and governmental organizations, such as King Saud University in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, and the Benazir Income Support Program in Pakistan. Muhammad has published several peer-reviewed articles on electricity demand, energy, inflation, and environmental issues. He received Pakistan’s Higher Education Commission’s Outstanding Research Award 2015/2016 for his research paper, “Environmental Kuznets curve and financial development in Pakistan,” published in Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews.
Publications
31 March 2024
Assessing the Impact of Water Price and Water-Use Efficiency on Domestic Water Demand in Saudi ArabiaThe main objective of this paper is twofold. First, we attempt to identify the main determinants of domestic water demand in Saudi Arabia. In this respect, we estimate two sets of water demand models for Saudi Arabia from 1994 to 2021. In the first model, we estimate water demand as ...
23 October 2023
Interfuel Substitution in the Industrial Sector in Saudi Arabiahe Kingdom of Saudi Arabia has taken many decisive steps toward a more sustainable future, in line with its Vision 2030, including the use of c...2emissions target. A ridge regression method is used to estimate the parameters of the translog production function for the period 1990–2020.
22 October 2023
The Role of Petrochemical Sector Exports in the Diversification of the Saudi Economy: A Scenario Analysis of Foreign and Domestic Price Shocks, the estimated export equations were integrated into a general equilibrium model, called the King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center (KAPSARC) Global Energy Macroeconometric Model (KGEMM), and a scenario analysis was conducted for the diversification implicati...until 2035.
10 May 2023
Macroeconomic and Sectoral Effects of the Natural Gas Price: Policy Insights from a Macroeconometric Modelcroeconomic and sectoral assessment of the energy price reform (EPR) can provide policymakers with useful insights regarding price deregulation options. A key feature of this research that differentiates it from many other studies is its modeling framework. The framework first estima...
22 May 2022
Determinants of Remittance Outflows: The Case of Saudi ArabiaInternational labor migration has played a key role in the development of both advanced and developing countries. Many developing countries in Asia have relied on labor migration, mainly to the oil-rich Gulf region, to reduce both unemployment and poverty (Naseem 2007). Mansoor and Q...
13 January 2022
Modeling and Forecasting Industrial Electricity Demand for Saudi Arabia: Uncovering Regional CharacteristicsThe objective of this study is to investigate Saudi Arabia’s industrial electricity consumption at the regional level. We apply structural time series modeling to annual data over the period of 1990 to 2019. In addition to estimating the size and significance of the price and income ...
24 August 2021
Sectoral Investment Analysis for Saudi ArabiaThis study aims to investigate the determinants of short- and long-run investment behavior in Saudi Arabia for eight non-oil sectors. Saudi Arabia is currently proceeding with its historic Vision 2030 reform plan, which aims to significantly increase the private sector’s contribution...
24 August 2021
Saudi Non-oil Exports Before and After COVID-19: Historical Impacts of Determinants and Scenario AnalysisThe diversification of the non-oil sector, including its exports, is at the core of Saudi Vision 2030. This study investigates Saudi non-oil exports in a novel way. Specifically, it differs from previous studies on this topic owing to its modeling framework. This study’s modeling fra...
07 April 2020
Modeling Sectoral Employment in Saudi Arabia
chieving the desired level of employment is central to macroeconomic policy. Regulators should have a better understanding of employment dynamics in order to design appropriate policies and test their impact. Healthy employment levels not only benefit household income and the product...
02 December 2024
Introduction of Electric Vehicles in Saudi Arabia: Impacts on Oil Consumption, CO2 Emissions, and Electricity Demandemissions associated with the road transport sector by 2050. On the basis of the projected number of ICE vehicles, we design three scenarios for developing electric vehicles (EVs) (high-, moderate-, and low-growth scenarios) to determine the impact...2emissions, and electricity demand.
