Primary Program
About
Saleh was a Research Associate in the Policy and Decision Science program. His interests lie in geopolitical research, international agreements and international trade. Saleh holds a master’s degree in International Commerce and Policy from George Mason University and a B.S. degree in Economics from Pennsylvania State University.
Publications
15 February 2023
Spatial Modeling of Bargaining Among Stakeholders in Energy Policy: The Case of Japanese Nuclear Plants
his paper evaluates the evolving political will in Japan to restart nuclear power plants to generate electric power, in light of the country’s political and economic developments over the past few years. We apply a model of collective decision-making processes (CDMPs), using the KAPS...
13 November 2019
Political Feasibility of Enhancing the Russian Emissions Reduction Target Under the Paris AgreementIt is widely recognized that the commitments set out in the Paris Agreement fall short of achieving the 2 degrees Celsius global warming target, agreed as the central goal of the agreement and its parties. Given this, KAPSARC has set out to explore the political feasibility of enhanc...
27 October 2019
Assessing Politics in Market Projections-Restarting Japanese Nuclear Reactors and Global Gas MarketsThis paper explores the value of explicitly integrating the modeling of political concerns into a model of energy market projections. This is achieved by assessing the impact on global gas markets of political constraints on restarting Japanese nuclear reactors. The 2018 KAPSARC disc...
27 October 2019
Can Japanese Nuclear Power Be Restarted Sooner? A Simulation of Alternative ScenariosThis study assesses whether there are politically plausible paths to more quickly gain support for restarting Japanese nuclear power plants and considers alternative scenarios. It builds on the 2018 KAPSARC discussion paper, “The Policymaking Process to Restart Japanese Nuclear Power...
22 August 2019
The Political Feasibility of Enhancing Greenhouse Gas Emissions Targets in the European Union’s Mid-Century StrategyArticle 4.19 of the 2015 Paris Agreement calls on signatories to formulate and communicate “long-term low greenhouse gas development strategies,” widely known as the mid-century strategy (MCS). Any enhancement of the European Union’s (EU’s) targets in its MCS depends on a new long-te...
31 December 2018
The Policymaking Process to Restart Japanese Nuclear Power Plants
- The Nuclear Regulation Authority (NRA) appears to be a credible and effective voice in building political acceptance of restarti...
- Despite the turbulence in Japanese politics in 2017, the trend of slowly growing political will in favor of nuclear power appears to be largely unchanged.
17 November 2018
OPEC Oil Production Data: The Role of Secondary Sources
- Tanker tracking techniques using Automatic Identification System monitoring and satellite imagery are still in their infancy and do ...
- Although much of the data secondary sources collate is unverifiable, there are currently no alternative sources or methodologies that are more robust.
25 October 2018
The Politics of European Union Climate Governance
- A struggle has emerged for leadership within the...
- Despite some changes in governments, the national climate position of EU member states remains stable.
- Poland, perhaps supported by other coal-dependent countries, is likely to remain an obstacle to more ambitious EU climate targets.
04 October 2018
Assessment of the Political Feasibility of Developing a GCC Power MarketCountries in the Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf, commonly known as the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), established a regional power grid to support member countries’ high voltage networks in 2001 but, to date, the system has remained underutilized. The intended p...
